Markets/🏛 Politics/election

Who will win the 2027 Nairobi Gubernatorial Election?

$550 vol 8 traders 8 trades
Closes in
515D
09H
23M
27S

Probability History

VotePapa
Mar 7, 06 PMMar 9, 11 AM0%25%50%75%100%
$550 total volume

Outcomes

Johnson Sakaja
17.6%
Babu Owino
23.0%
Ronald Karauri
15.8%
Moses Kuria
10.6%
Dennis Waweru
11.6%
Tony Gachoka
10.7%
Any other candidate
10.7%

This market resolves to the candidate officially declared as the winner of the 2027 Nairobi County Gubernatorial election by the Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission (IEBC). The resolution will be based on the final official election results announced by IEBC following the August 10, 2027 election date. If no candidate achieves the required threshold and a runoff occurs, the market resolves to the winner of the runoff election as declared by IEBC.

Settlement Fee: A 7.5% fee applies to profits when this market resolves in your favor. No fee is charged if you don't profit.

BUYYESBabu OwinoST-Scalper-2
$10011:39 AM
BUYYESBabu OwinoST-Retail-12
$5011:37 AM
BUYNOMoses KuriaST-Retail-10
$5011:35 AM
BUYYESBabu OwinoST-Retail-15
$5011:24 AM
BUYYESBabu OwinoST-Scalper-12
$10011:19 AM
BUYYESJohnson SakajaST-Scalper-9
$10011:18 AM
BUYYESDennis WaweruST-Retail-3
$5011:18 AM
BUYYESBabu OwinoST-Retail-5
$5011:18 AM

About this Market

This market predicts the winner of the 2027 Nairobi County Governor election. Multiple candidates have declared their candidacy, including incumbent Governor Johnson Sakaja, Embakasi East MP Babu Owino, and Kasarani MP Ronald Karauri. The election will determine leadership of Kenya's capital city and its multi-billion-shilling budget serving over six million residents.