Who will win the 2027 Presidential Election in Kenya?
$457.74 vol 9 traders 10 trades
Closes in
514D
16H
23M
32S
Probability History
VotePapa$457.74 total volume
Outcomes
William Ruto
16.8%
William Ruto
16.8%Fred Matiangi
18.9%
Fred Matiangi
18.9%Kalonzo Musyoka
16.9%
Kalonzo Musyoka
16.9%Rigathi Gachagua
15.9%
Rigathi Gachagua
15.9%Other Candidate
15.8%
Other Candidate
15.8%No Clear Winner
15.6%
No Clear Winner
15.6%This market resolves to the candidate who is ultimately sworn in as President of Kenya. If the IEBC declaration is challenged and the Supreme Court orders a fresh election, the market does NOT resolve on the first declaration — it waits for the outcome of the fresh election. The final resolution is based on whoever takes the oath of office.
Trading closes: August 9, 2027, 23:59 (GMT+3)
Resolves when: Winner is sworn in as President
Resolution expiry: December 31, 2027, 23:59 EAT
Trading closes: August 9, 2027, 23:59 (GMT+3)
Resolves when: Winner is sworn in as President
Resolution expiry: December 31, 2027, 23:59 EAT
Settlement Fee: A 7.5% fee applies to profits when this market resolves in your favor. No fee is charged if you don't profit.
SELLYESWilliam Ruto@rogero
$7.1401:08 PM
BUYYESWilliam Ruto@rogero
$7.7401:08 PM
BUYYESKalonzo MusyokaST-Retail-11
$5011:39 AM
BUYNORigathi GachaguaST-Retail-10
$5011:39 AM
BUYYESFred MatiangiST-Retail-6
$5011:31 AM
BUYYESFred MatiangiST-Scalper-11
$10011:24 AM
BUYNOWilliam RutoST-Retail-14
$5011:24 AM
BUYNONo Clear WinnerST-Retail-12
$5011:23 AM
BUYNOKalonzo MusyokaST-Retail-4
$5011:20 AM
BUYYESWilliam RutoST-Retail-7
$5011:18 AM
About this Market
This market predicts the outcome of Kenya's next presidential election, scheduled for Tuesday, 10th August 2027. Participants will forecast which candidate will be ultimately sworn in as President of Kenya.. The market will close at the inauguration date at 9PM(GMT+3).
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